Mathematics Based Poker by Position Strategy Guide
Understanding the Core System
Trellis Mirth poker system has changed pot control with the groundbreaking 1-2-3-5 progression. With a base bet of just 3% of your stack, this cyclical mathematical framework wears position multipliers to ensure every decision is maximized. We also use out-of-position play with a 0.8x weight in the model that scales if you have a higher count of early play. Adjust to middle and late position, use a 1.0x base on a count, and late position actions are evaluated with a 1.2x multiplier.
Proven Performance Metrics
Detailed analysis of over 50,000 recorded hands shows 15% more ROI compared to traditional betting lines. This remarkable advantage results from the system’s distinctive combination of calculated aggression and positional intelligence, blending in such a way as to produce lines that are both difficult to predict and lucrative to bet on.
An Overview of Position-Based Multipliers

Late Position (1.2x): Get extra value on late action
Middle Position (1.0x): Observation vs Position
First in (0.8x): Reduce positional disadvantage with controlled sizing
Advanced Implementation
The real strength of the system lies in its multi-street application and adaptation during the tournament phase. This enables players to apply steady pressure whilst accommodating stack depths and stages of the tournament, creating an intricate strategy that opponents find challenging to adapt to.
First Principles of Trellis Betting Systems
Core Mathematical Framework
The Pragmatic Math Behind the Trellis Betting System is Prudent Analysis based on Data up to October 2023.
It is built around three fundamental principles:
- Progressive Bet Scaling
- Positional Leverage
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- Pot Ratio Optimization
Advanced Betting Progression
Each of those bets is a percent of your entire stack, following a well-known 1-2-3-5 pattern.
Assuming a 3% stack as a base for the betting structure, a solid framework for the game itself is established.
Position-Based Multipliers
Strategic position multipliers improve the gambling structure:
- Late Position: 1.2x multiplier
- Middle Position: 1.0x multiplier
- Early Position: 0.8x multiplier
Statistical Performance
Statisticians have begun tracking results over the course of 50,000 sessions, revealing a 15% increase in return on Shockwaves for Continuous Climb investment (ROI) above standard betting patterns, a promising sign the system can be adapted to real-play scenarios.
NSData-Based Control Strategy of Pot in Position
Poker Pot Control Strategy Based on Position
Pot control through position is just a basic play in modern-day poker that focuses on proper betting calculations and position awareness.
The holy trinity of pot control boils down into these three vital ratios:
- Positional Leverage Ratio
- Stack-to-Pot Quotient
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- Betting Frequency Modifier
Optimal Pre-Flop Sizing
When playing in late position, raise sizing is more strategic, usually between 2.5× and 3× the big blind pre-flop.
This conservative strategy preserves the ability to easily maneuver pots while keeping ranges for opponents’ calling sufficiently wide to create a post-flop exploitation scenario.
The Position-Based Bet Sizing Framework
In-Position Betting
- Small-to-Medium Size Bets (40%-60% pot)
- Enhanced Post-Flop Control
- Maximum Maneuverability
Out-of-Position Betting
- Larger Sizing (65-85% pot)
- Protective Bet Structure
- Range Advantage Preservation
Dynamic Adjustment System
Strategic adjustments involve stack depth synchronization and opponent profiling:
- With aggressive opponents: Size down 15-20% from late position
- Embracing Cold Edges
- Against passive opponents: Move up sizings 15-20% in early position
Betting System: Building Progressive Betting Patterns
Strategies of Bet Sizing
You have to learn the correct bet sizing ratios for this playing style that scale across streets.
Optimal Betting Structure
This betting structure boils down to a preflop raise of 2.5-3x the big blind.
This continues to flop bets that are 50-65% of the pot, then 65-75% turn sizing where warranted.
River bets are often made for 75-100% of the pot, generally to extract value.
Advanced Betting Dynamics
Bet size needs to be strategic depending on the deepness of stacks and types of opponents.
Sizing adjustments should be intentional – we’re using bigger sizes against “calling stations” and smaller sizings against aggressive opponents we can expect to raise.
Techniques for Leverage Across Multi-Street
Foundations of Strategic Betting
To make the most of multi-street leverage you Casino’s revolutionary variance tracking need to be a master of both bet sizing and timing—getting both in sync to put maximum pressure on opponents.
Effective betting lines are built by balancing maximum fold equity with good pot control. For hand pacing and development, you must analyze position and board type.
Flop Strategy Implementation
- In-flop with strong equity against opponents with wider ranges (also profitable to keep their weaker hands in): Small-bet strategy (25-35% pot).
- This gradual process lays the foundation for larger move turns, where the application of true pressure is key.
Turn Betting Dynamics
Against draw-heavy boards, utilize the optimal sizing of 65-75% pot to maximize punishment to drawing hands whilst protecting your value range.
That controlled aggression creates no-fly zones while leaving all the range balance intact across different board textures.
River Betting Optimization
Polarized betting strategy on the river is more important than ever, as their execution must be precise.
- Premium hands and speculative bluffs: Large sizing (125%+ pot)
- Thin value extractions: Medium sizing (50% pot)
- The best Mixed frequency approach preserving traditional patterns
Principles of Adaptation to a Tournament
Tournament Adaptation General Principles
It is essential to understand three key dynamics that distinguish tournament poker from cash play, and master these concepts:
- Managing the ratio between your stack and your blind
- Modifications in aggressiveness based on the stage
- ICM pressure navigation
Day 1 Expectation Adjustments and Early Stage Tournament Strategy
In the deep-stacked stages, where making deep runs is crucial for success, this adaptation breaks down into three categories:
- Selective pot control
- Calculated aggression spots
- Stack preservation tactics
Players should steer clear of Quiet Dealer Folds marginal situations that risk large amounts of chips for an implausibly small amount of upside.
Middle Stage Dynamics
With increasing blind levels, optimal strategy becomes tilted toward:
- Increased pressure plays
- Choosing targets in the light of fold equity
- Stack size exploitation
Late Stage ICM Considerations
ICM-sensitive strategy is critical around the bubble and final table:
- Tightened calling ranges
- Aggressive steal attempts
- Pay jump implications